With
nasty cold fronts thrusting an icy and early winter across the
continental U.S. — along with last winter described by USA Today as "one
of the snowiest, coldest, most miserable on record" — climatologist
John L. Casey thinks the weather pattern is here to stay for decades to
come.
In fact, Casey, a
former space shuttle engineer and NASA consultant, is out with the
provocative book "Dark Winter: How the Sun Is Causing a 30-Year Cold
Spell," which warns that a radical shift in global climate is underway,
and that Al Gore and other environmentalists have it completely wrong. [Get "Dark Winter" with Free Offer – Click Here] http://www.amazon.com/Dark-Winter-Causing-30-Year-Spell/dp/1630060356
The earth, he says, is cooling, and cooling fast.
And unless the scientific community and political leaders act soon, cold, dark days are ahead.
Casey says the evidence is clear that the earth is rapidly growing colder because of diminished solar activity.
He
says trends indicate we could be headed for colder temperatures similar
to those seen in the late 1700s and early 1800s when the sun went into a
"solar minimum" — a phenomenon with significantly reduced solar
activity, including solar flares and sunspots.
If he's right, that would be very bad news.
"Dark
Winter" posits that a 30-year period of cold has already begun. Frigid
temperatures, and food shortages that inevitably result, could lead to
riots and chaos.
Casey
tells Newsmax, "All you have to do is trust natural cycles, and follow
the facts; and that leads you to the inevitable conclusion that the sun
controls the climate, and that a new cold era has begun." Casey is
president of the Space and Science Research Corp., an Orlando, Fla.,
climate research firm.
His
new book debunks global warming orthodoxy. For over a decade, he
reports, the planet's oceans have been cooling. And since 2007, the
atmospheric temperature has been cooling as well.
"The
data is pretty solid," Casey says. "If you look at the 100-year global
temperature chart, you look at the steep drop off we've had since 2007,
it's the steepest drop in global temperatures in the last hundred
years."
So how can the media and scientific elites make a case for global warming when it's actually cooling?
Casey
suggests climate-change theorists have simply wedded themselves to the
wrong theory, namely, that global temperatures respond to the level of
greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
Any scientist suggesting otherwise is castigated as a heretic, though there are other prominent scientists who support Casey.
Noted
Russian astrophysicist Habibullo I. Abdussamatov has argued that a new,
mini-ice age has begun, though Casey doesn't go that far.
He
does agree with Abdussamatov that the real driver of global climate is
solar activity, namely sunspots. These correspond to shifts in global
temperature with a greater than 90 percent accuracy, he says.
The
environmental left focuses instead on ever-rising greenhouse emissions,
suggesting nature is just taking a bit of a breather before the upward
march in temperatures ineluctably resumes.
"There
are two fundamental flaws with that," Casey says. "No. 1, the
greenhouse-gas theory, and the global climate models that they produced,
never permitted a pause. As long as CO2 levels were going up, the only
thing that could happen was global temperatures could go up. That has
not happened.
"No. 2, there could absolutely be no cooling, much less a pause. And yet we've been cooling for 11 years now."
The
recent polar vortex that sent temperatures across the Midwest plunging
to sub-zero records is not an aberration, Casey says.
If "Dark Winter" is right, that means the nation is busily preparing for the wrong calamity.
"We
don't have 10 years," Casey warns. "We've squandered during President
Obama's administration eight years . . . and we didn't have eight years
to squander."
The worst of the cooling cycle, Casey predicts, will hit in the late 2020s and the early 2030s.
Food riots will break out, demand for heating oil will spike, and the failure of the corn crop will put the squeeze on ethanol.
He even predicts the United States will ban agricultural exports to feed its own citizens.
When Casey developed his theories in 2007, he emerged with several predictions.
Rising
temperatures would begin to reverse themselves within three years. The
sun would enter a phase of reduced activity he called "solar
hibernation." And oceanic and atmospheric temperatures would enter a
long decline.
So far, all
of Casey's predictions have come true. He says, "My theory tells you
when it will be cold . . . and it is the cold that kills."
Casey also posits that a long-term cold spell will have dire effects on the earth's geology.
As air and ocean temperatures, the earth's crust begins changing, leading to more volcanic activity and earthquakes. Casey notes that the worst earthquake to strike the continental U.S. in modern times was in 1812 at New Madrid, Missouri – during the last great solar minimum.
The
climate changes also will affect human activity and may be a prelude to
revolutionary politics. He says the French Revolution took place at the
beginning of the last solar minimum in 1789.
"It
could be one of the reasons Putin is so eager to get Ukraine," Casey
says. "For many decades before Ukraine became independent, it was the
primary source of wheat for the Soviet Union during cold weather times.
Putin must have the wheat of Ukraine for the new cold era."
Casey has a worried look as he talks about the revelations in "Dark Winter."
"There is no human on earth, much less here in the U.S., who has experienced the depth and duration of cold we're about to experience — it's that serious," he says.
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